louis vuitton bags from china: 十一月 2013

2013年11月20日星期三

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In the run up to Florida’s Republican primary, a lot of pixels were spilled on Newt Gingrich’s lunar flight of fancy, a proposal to permanently colonize the moon by 2020.replica gucci shoes Even with the poor state of federal balance sheets, this kind of pandering to the Space Coast is par for the course. But in light of a gut-wrenching look from 60 Minutes at the current plight of laid-off workers in Brevard County, home of the Kennedy Space Center, it’s worth revisiting what Mitt Romney, the prohibitive nominee, has said about the space program and whether he’ll be able to make an issue of it when the campaign returns to Florida in the fall. In short, Romney hasn’t explicitly promised to bring back the manned space program Constellation, the shuttle’s intended successor that Obama canned, or anything else for that matter. ??In the politics of the past, to get your vote in the Space Coast, I??d come here and promise hundreds of billions of dollars,?? Romney told voters on Cape Canaveral back in January.replica gucci shoes ??I know that??s something that??s very attractive, very popular, but it??s simply the wrong thing to do.?? Romney may still have an opening on the issue, not because of his own promises, but because of Obama’s. Here’s the tough piece of tape from the 60 Minutes piece: This isn’t the whole story: Obama was slow to warm to NASA during the 2008 campaign and did not wildly oversell his plans for the agency at the time. His Administration did nix Constellation to the consternation of many space professionals–former NASA administrator Mike Griffin, who championed manned space flight under Bush, is actually an adviser to the Romney campaign–but Obama has tried to sustain the Space Coast by luring private sector businesses such as a helicopter manufacturer, and inked a deal with Elon Musk’s SpaceX to launch a dozen flights to the international space station from the area.fake ugg boots Brevard County already leans Republican: McCain won it by 11 points in 2008; Bush won it by 16 in 2004 and by 8 in 2000. But as an anecdote of economic hardship in a key swing state, the Space Coast story is a compelling one for Romney to seize upon. Obama said in 2008 that he’d ensure “all those who work in the space industry in Florida do not lose their jobs when the shuttle program is retired.” Not all have, but there are clearly enough in pain to make it a point of contention in the general election.louis vuitton neverfull
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These are dull days for political junkies.replica chanel shoes At minimum, Mitt Romney is more than a month away from wrapping up the Republican nomination, but the drama of the GOP primary has evaporated. Pundits and observers need to chew on some morsel of intrigue as Romney works to?jettison the “presumptive” tag. And so the veepstakes chatter has begun. The vice-presidential selection process has long been one of?Washington’s favorite parlor games.louis vuitton belts But in the post-Palin era, the process has taken on added weight. Which means the Republicans whom Romney short-lists are signing up for what is sure to be a rigorous dissection of their lives. “If presidential campaigns are M.R.louis vuitton shoes replicaI.??s for the soul,” wrote the New York Times’?Dick Stevenson, “vice-presidential vetting this year will be a body-cavity search.”? It wasn’t always so. In the earliest days of the Republic, the nation’s second-highest office was a consolation prize for the presidential runner-up.fake louis vuitton (The verb, as Slate explains, was plucked from the realm of animal medicine and popularized by the British in the mid-20th century.) The framers created the vice presidency almost as an afterthought, vesting in it scant powers and delineating no procedure to fill a vacancy. (The oversight had long-lasting consequences; as late as the 1940s, Harry Truman went nearly a full term without a No. 2.gucci outlet online) The first two vice presidents, John Adams and Thomas Jefferson, viewed the post as a sinecure, spending much of their time gaming out their next runs and formalizing parliamentary procedure. (PHOTOS: A History of the ‘Veepstakes’ in Pictures) The latter’s successor, Aaron Burr, was awarded the position in 1800 after the two deadlocked in the Electoral College, forcing the House to pick the President. Burr subsequently became something of a political liability after killing Alexander Hamilton in a duel; the episode prompted Jefferson to drop him from the ticket in the re-elect and Congress to pass the 12th Amendment. “The most insignificant office that ever the invention of man contrived,” Adams wrote of the vice presidency, and it stayed that way for a while.fake louis vuitton shoes?John Nance Garner, the first of three VPs to serve under Franklin D. Roosevelt, likened the value of the job to a “bucket of warm piss.” John McCain’s pick of Sarah Palin in 2008 was the first to bomb spectacularly in the age of the 24-hour news cycle, but it was hardly the first to backfire. Even in the era of careful vetting, many have gone badly.replica chanel shoes Historians date the origins of intensive vetting to 1972, when George McGovern tapped Thomas Eagleton, a Missouri Senator, to fill out the Democratic ticket. It was a measure of the office’s meager prestige at the time that Eagleton was, by McGovern’s recollection, the ninth man offered the job. Soon McGovern was left wishing Eagleton had turned it down as well. Newspaper reports revealed that Eagleton had been hospitalized for depression, receiving shock-therapy treatment as well as the anti-psychotic drug Thorazine.gucci outlet online The ensuing media scrum forced Eagleton off the ticket and sent McGovern’s campaign into a tailspin. McGovern was routed that November by Richard Nixon, whose own vice president, Spriro Agnew, resigned the following year as part of no-contest plea on charges of tax evasion. (SPECIAL: America’s Worst Vice Presidents) To avoid such ignominious episodes, Jimmy Carter in 1976 embarked on the most extensive vetting process to date. Carter settled on Walter Mondale, who went on to expand the powers of the office in the White House.louis vuitton shoes replica But when Mondale later became the Democratic nominee in 1984, his campaign botched the vet. Mondale was keen on a barrier-breaking appointment, and over the course of his search he began leaning toward Dianne Feinstein, then the mayor of San Francisco, who would become the first female vice-presidential candidate. At the last moment, however, Mondale opted instead for Geraldine Ferraro; according to some reports, his aides had concerns the financial entanglements of Feinstein’s husband. Ferraro’s vetting lasted a frenzied?48 hours.chanel handbags for sale (“Here goes,” he reportedly said when he picked up the phone to inform Ferraro of his decision.)?Within days, controversy exploded around her husband’s financial affairs, plunging the campaign into disarray that ended with a landslide loss. Even successful campaigns have been beset by vetting malfunctions, oddities and anguish. In 1988, George H.handbags louis vuittonW. Bush offered the job to Dan Quayle, a Senator beloved by the conservative base, without formally interviewing Quayle. Twelve years later, Bush’s son asked Dick Cheney to head up the selection process, which ended in Cheney himself getting the job. Both Al Gore and Joe Biden were regarded as reasonable choices, but each clashed at times with the top of the ticket.louis vuitton outlet online (MORE: Why Obama Deserves to Lose) Their sparring was nothing compared to the strife that has scarred losing campaigns. In 2004, John Kerry launched an exhaustive search, led by Washington hand Jim Johnson, that culminated in the selection of John Edwards. Kerry was “queasy” about Edwards, his adviser Bob Shrum later wrote, but chose Edwards anyway after securing a guarantee that he wouldn’t run for President four years later if the duo lost. By Election Day a deep frost had set in between the two, and Shrum recalled that Kerry “wished he’d never picked Edwards, that he should have gone with his gut.ugg boots outlet” Of course, campaign strategists have a habit of trying to salvage their own reputations by turning the VP pick into a scapegoat. In the aftermath of the Palin debacle, Steve Schmidt and Nicolle Wallace elevated the practice to an art form, skewering the former Alaska governor so severely that their accounts became the basis of a book (co-authored by TIME’s Mark Halperin) and movie (produced by HBO, a division of Time Warner, which owns Time Inc.). It’s hard to imagine a similar fate befalling Romney.chanel outlet McCain loved the romance of risk, while the former Massachusetts often seems at war with it. Romney’s is a plodding, methodical?campaign, patterned after its data-driven candidate. This style has invited suggestions that Romney himself is robotic or inauthentic. But if there is one arena where caution is an asset in presidential politics, it is in the vetting of a vice president–the first test of whether a nominee has the judgment to hold the highest office.cheap gucci belts
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Romney looks poised for a sweep in Wisconsin, Maryland and D.loui vuittonC., is likely to secure a majority of the day’s delegates. He’ll soon raise funds jointly with the RNC, a reflection of party officials eagerness to get to the general. Obama launches a preemptive strike on the Supreme Court.louis vuitton handbags for sale He’ll define the Ryan budget as “social Darwinism” in a speech today. His second campaign TV ad is another defensive spot on energy with an added jab at Romney: Romney is a cipher, which isn’t all bad. Mad Men wasn’t really fair to George Romney. (Here’s further proof.replica louis vuitton) Tim Cahill indicted in Massachusetts. The head of the General Services Administration has resigned and top officials sacked after expensing a lavish conference in Vegas. They reportedly had a mind-reader on retainer, but it mustn’t have been a very good one. And five things in Wisconsin more interesting than the presidential primary.chanel handbags for sale
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According to The Note, here’s what Mitt Romney had to say about immigration on Monday: “This has always been a priority for the president he chooses to do nothing about,” Romney said.replica louis vuitton “Let the immigrant community not forget that while he uses this as a political weapon, he has not taken responsibility for fixing the problems we have.” This is hilarious on several grounds: 1. Obama has been blocked from enacting immigration reform by the Republican Party. Romney has taken the most extreme position possible against reform, including opposition to Newt Gingrich’s proposal to exempt from deportation illegals who’ve been living in the U.replica gucci shoesS. for a long time. 2. The Republican Party, and Romney, even oppose the Dream Act, which would give citizenship to the children of illegal immigrants who join the military or graduate from college.replica louis vuitton 3. Even though he is loath to admit it, Obama has been extremely successful in monitoring the southern border and deporting people who’ve attempted to cross illegally. 4. As a result of Obama’s crackdown, and the poor economy, illegal immigration has been dropping steadily over the past three years.fake chanel shoes 5. Latino voters know that Romney’s draconian and silly position on immigration–his utter refusal to discuss what to do about the 11 or so millions of immigrants who are here illegally–was pure politics, a squalid attempt to pander to the nativist base of his party. That is why he is rocking along with about 14% support from Latinos in the polls. That is why this is one sketchy sketch he won’t be able to unetch.replica louis vuitton
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2013年11月19日星期二

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Leon Panetta first ran afoul of a president when he was a lowly federal staffer more than 40 years ago.fake louis vuitton shoes The president was Richard Nixon, who didn’t like the way Panetta, then a civil-rights advocate at the old Department of Health, Education and Welfare, pressed the Administration to speed up school integration. Panetta resigned, moved back to California and ran for Congress. Nixon??s own Oval Office tapes captured him describing Panetta??s resulting 1971 book on the experience, Bring Us Together, as ??a case history on how to screw the White House.?? Now, after a dazzling career that has taken him from the Capitol, to the White House, to his current post running the U.gucci outlet onlineS. military, he finds himself in — and out — of hot water once again. Panetta volunteered Feb. 1 that the U.loui vuittonS. was looking to hand over responsibility for combat operations across all of Afghanistan to Afghan troops sometime in 2013 ?? well before the planned U.S. departure by the end of 2014.gucci outlet online Then he apparently suggested to a reporter that Israel might strike Iran as soon as this summer. That was too much of a green light for the White House, which three days later yanked the reins. ??I don??t think,?? Obama told NBC??s Matt Lauer shortly before the Super Bowl kickoff, ??that Israel has made a decision on what they need to do.?? Panetta’s allies say Leon was just being himself.fake ugg boots Confiding and candid, and blessed with an easy laugh, Panetta, 73, has been around Washington longer than Eric Cantor has been in long pants. He spent 16 years in Congress rising to Budget Committee chairman, and then became the rare Democrat to serve in four Cabinet jobs: budget director and chief of staff for Clinton, and CIA Director and now Pentagon boss for President Obama. No one else alive in his party has had such range or depth. On Afghanistan, Panetta made explicit what many in the U.fake louis vuittonS. military believe: after a decade of war, Afghanistan??s security forces need to start shouldering more of the load faster. He was multitasking: prodding the Afghans to get their act together, while making clear Obama??s desire to bring U.S.louis vuitton shoes replica troops home as quickly as possible. It??s a high-wire act, and he??s under unusual pressure from his party as the first Democrat to run the Pentagon since 1997, and not simply default to GOP-lite. As a one-time junior Army officer ?? and a son, one of three, who earned a Bronze Star in Afghanistan with the Navy reserve ?? Panetta has the gravitas to run the Defense Department. That??s something ?? as the nation??s military officers increasingly lean Republican ?? Democrats don??t always seem to have, or understand.fake chanel shoes But Panetta speaks their language. “I’ve been in hearings for the last three days,” he told airmen in Louisiana Feb. 17. “Shit, I think I should get some kind of award going through that crap.replica chanel shoes”?(“He’s the consummate straight shooter,” George Little, his spokesman at the CIA and now the Pentagon, says. “You always know where you stand with him.”) But sometimes his words go off target. After Panetta met with the Washington Post??s David Ignatius earlies this month, the columnist wrote that ??Panetta believes there is a strong likelihood that Israel will strike Iran in April, May or June.louis vuitton speedy?? That came as a jolt to the Obama Administration??s carefully orchestrated plan to keeping tightening economic sanctions on Iran. The goal is to give them enough time ?? through the election, perhaps ?? to bite. Any attack would likely derail that strategy. It would only delay Iran??s alleged quest for nuclear weapons by a year or two, Administration officials believe, and encourage Tehran to develop nuclear weapons.fake gucci shoes Diplomacy, Obama said in that Super Bowl chat, remains the ??preferred solution.?? Senator Roger Wicker asked Panetta about Ignatius?? assessment of the defense secretary??s thinking. ??I usually don’t comment on columnists’ ideas about what I’m thinking,?? Panetta responded. The Mississippi Republican pressed him on whether he has a view on the chance of an Israeli attack on Iran this spring.loui vuitton ??I do not,?? the Pentagon chief said. It was classic Panetta sleight-of-mouth: the world will recall what Panetta was supposedly thinking long after it has forgotten his denial. But sometimes it??s just Leon speaking Leongua franca. He relishes the role: “There was some talk here of trying to put a seven-second delay on the microphones for the ceremony,” he said at his Pentagon swearing-in.louis vuitton neverfull “But I can??t imagine why the hell that would be necessary.” He praises two top Army officers of Italian heritage as his “spaghetti generals.?? And he regularly blames his not-so-bon-mots on his parents, who emigrated to California from Italy. ??As an Italian,?? he told laughing members of a congressional panel on Feb.handbags louis vuitton 16, ??I’m a control freak.?? Panetta is nothing if not in charge. The next day he told those troops at Barksdale Air Force Base ?? safely out of congressional earshot ?? about that ??crap?? he had to endure before Congress, even as he had made lawmakers laugh. ??I told General [Martin] Dempsey [chairman of the Joint Chiefs, who shared a foxhole with Panetta during their testimony] I need a new combat badge for going to Capitol Hill,?? he said.louis vuitton speedy The ensuing pause echoed Bob Hope’s perfect timing when addressing the troops. ??With clusters.
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Rick Santorum had a pretty lousy night in Arizona, but his candidacy has raised some valuable social questions, as I argue in my latest print column (available to TIME subscribers).chanel outlet His candidacy also demonstrates the traditional problems that long-term members of Congress have when they attempt to run for President. Legislative democracy is complicated and untidy. You have to make difficult choices all the time–and, to my mind, the decisive moment in Wednesday night’s debate came when Santorum empretzeled himself in an effort to explain why he’d voted to fund Planned Parenthood, of all things. “I did vote for Title X,” he began–and thereby lost much of the audience.fake chanel shoes Title X? Members of Congress speak a tortured sub-species of the English language and often forget that, say, regular human beings might not know that a “Title” is a section of a bill. Santorum went on to explain that Title X was part of a humongous health appropriations bill, most of which he favored. And then he empretzled himself even more by saying that he had fought to include–wait for it–a Title XX in the bill, appropriating funds for abstinence education. Ron Paul was having none of it.louis vuitton shoes replica He didn’t believe the government should appropriate funds for either Planned Parenthood or abstinence education. And he used the example to show how Congress transforms the most well-intentioned conservatives into liberals: if you vote against the health appropriations bill, your opponent in the next election can pick out all the wonderful provisions in the bill–cancer research, childhood vaccinations–and run ads saying that you voted against them. This was a relatively uneventful and boring debate, but that little moment of civic education was worth the price of admission. Paul and Gingrich had nice nights for themselves, which is proof that the farther you are from the prize, the easier it is to debate.gucci outlet online Mitt Romney had a strong debate too–Santorum’s attacks on RomneyCare and Mitt’s other acts of sanity as Massachusetts governor, which were so effective a few debates ago, have grown old and wilted. ?On the other hand, Romney’s attacks on Santorum are fresh meat. Santorum didn’t even try to explain why he’d voted for the “bridge to nowhere,” another example of the mind-numbing abstruseness of Congressional democracy. If Romney goes on to win the presidency, he should thank his lucky stars that he lost to Ted Kennedy in that 1994 Senate race, thereby saving himself from 18 years of awkward votes.louis vuitton shoes replica A final note: Gingrich and Romney were disgraceful and demagogic on the subject of Iran. Gingrich was earning his Adelson money, obviously, but in the process exposed himself as either uninformed or purposefully misleading. He ranted against Mahmoud Ahmadinejad–as if Ahmadinejad had any power over the Iranian military or nuclear program. He doesn’t.louis vuitton replica The Supreme Leader does. In fact, Ahmadinejad is about to lose much of the remaining, hollow power he has: allies of the Supreme Leader have banned most of Ahmadinejad’s supporters from running for re-election to the Iranian parliament in March. Romney took up the cry against Ahmadinejad–just as John McCain did in 2008. And so you might ask yourself, why do these Republicans insist on turning a guy with no power into–excuse me, Senator Santorum–a major-league Satan? Because most people know that Ahmadinejad is a villain, a holocaust denying anti-Semite.replica louis vuitton He sounds insane. He makes it easier to argue that Iran’s leadership is a fanatic religious death cult. He might make it easier to pry some Jewish voters from their traditional liberal home in the Democratic Party. It certainly makes it easier for Gingrich to pry dollars from people like Sheldon Adelson.fake gucci shoes But it is a phony, baseless argument. Iran has one of the worst, oppressive governments in the world–but it is a thinly veiled military dictatorship, not a religious death cult. (Most of the mullahs disdain not only Ahmadinejad, but also the Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, who was a decidedly undistinguished minor cleric before he chivvied his way to power.) The leaders of that dictatorship are making careful calculations about whether or not to actually go for a nuclear weapon–and it’s a tough decision: if they build a bomb, they will have deterrence against an Israeli attack and also the grudging respect, and promises of aid, that rogue states like Pakistan and North Korea have gained.cheap gucci belts But they also run the severe risk of having their economy crushed by the sanctions regime and worse, the possibility of a pre-emptive attack by Israel or the U.S. It is not impossible that the pressure Obama has organized against Iran will force the Supreme Leader to back down. But even if it doesn’t, the facts on the ground do not even vaguely represent the situation as described by Gingrich et al.replica chanel shoes Once again, Ron Paul was right: people like Gingrich, Santorum and Romney are pushing us toward war under false pretenses. They should be ashamed of themselves.
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One of the most damaging moments for Rick Santorum in Wednesday night’s debate came when Mitt Romney reminded Republicans that, in 2004, Santorum had endorsed Arlen Specter, then his fellow GOP Senator from Pennsylvania, in a high-profile primary fight against a more conservative challenger.cheap gucci belts Specter was fighting for his political life against Pat Toomey, and Santorum’s blessing (along with George W. Bush’s) helped to inoculate Specter against Toomey’s charge that he was a contemptible RINO. As Romney cheerfully reminded the audience, Specter went on to win that race, but left the GOP in 2009 and ran for re-election as a Democrat in 2010. He was defeated that fall, but not before he cast a decisive vote for Obama’s health care plan.louis vuitton handbags for sale “If you had not supported him, if we had said, no to Arlen Specter, we would not have Obama Care,” Romney–deflecting an attack on his Massachusetts health care plan–told Santorum. “So don’t look at me. Take a look in the mirror.?? Santorum defended his endorsement primarily on the grounds that Specter had promised him he would use his power as Senate Judiciary Committee chairman to support George W.loui vuitton Bush’s judicial nominees. (MORE:?What You Missed While Not Watching the Arizona GOP Debate) In an interview today, Specter–wry and upbeat despite losing his seat in 2010 (he’s even a stand-up comic now)–chuckled at his debate cameo. “I really think there are more important things to talk about than Arlen Specter,” he said. And he criticized both the squabbling Republicans.louis vuitton replica But he also challenged Santorum’s version of events. On his vote for Obama’s health care reform bill, Specter offered no apology. “If Romney wants to make me responsible for ObamaCare, I??ve said I would be proud to be responsible for it,” he said. And on Santorum’s contention that he’d promised to support Bush nominees, Specter said he’d never made such an assurance: “I never made any deals with Santorum about supporting — any blanket commitment to support Bush judges.louis vuitton handbags for sale I said that I would not apply a litmus test on pro choice, pro-life.” (Social conservatives never fully trusted Specter because of his own pro-choice position, though he did support many pro-life judges.) Specter spoke positively of Santorum overall, saying that the two worked well together on local issues. He did note that Santorum’s conservative positions, while “very sincere,” are “reflected in [his] 18-point loss in Pennsylvania” in 2006.fake louis vuitton Specter also contended that? Santorum’s 2004 endorsement wasn’t necessarily the conservative heresy Romney makes it out to be.? “He supported me in 2004, but so did Bush. So did a lot of people. And when the crunch time came it was Bush??s commercial I used in the clutch–not Santorum’s.louis vuitton handbags for sale” That’s an interesting nuance to the tale. Just bon’t hold your breath waiting for Romney to clarify the point.
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On Thursday, Pew released some timely data on three major federal undertakings that defined the beginning of President Barack Obama’s first term: the bank bailout, passed under George W.fake uggs Bush just before Obama took office; the stimulus plan, Obama’s flagship economic initiative; and the 2009 rescue package for the big three U.S. automakers, which the President is highlighting in ads this week. The numbers illustrate both why Obama has chosen the auto bailout to make his case for re-election, and why Mitt Romney continues to talk about his own vociferous opposition to the policy.louis vuitton outlet online If that sounds like a contradiction, that’s because it is. Such is the nature of the American public’s view of government. The Pew survey found unwavering distaste for the Troubled Asset Relief Program, which 52% of Americans see as “wrong,” almost exactly where it stood a year ago. Approval for the Recovery Act hasn’t moved either, though fewer Americans now have a negative impression of it, and the nation remains split on the merits of the stimulus plan, 37% in favor, 41% opposed.replica gucci shoes However, a 56% majority, including 44% of Republicans, now say the auto bailout was “mostly good for the economy,” up 19 percentage points since October 2009. And that’s the kind of good will Obama is trading off in Michigan. But in polling, how a question is framed matters quite a bit. Gallup this week approached the auto rescue issue in a different way and found that 51% of Americans “disapproved” of the bailout.gucci handbag for sale It may be counter-intuitive, but this figure does not refute Pew’s findings. People can simultaneously recognize a policy’s positive impact and frown upon its principles. Despite divided opinion on whether the stimulus plan was worthy of approval, 61% of Americans, including a third of Republicans, in the Pew survey said it was mostly good for the economy, an even better number than the auto bailout. So what gives? Why do people disapprove of policies they may think are effective and how does Romney see his position as an asset? The answer in Pew’s data is that many Americans remain opposed in abstract to the very idea of government intervention.fake gucci shoes A full two-thirds of respondents said the federal government has a negative effect overall. By a 52% to 40% margin, they also said that government regulation of business “usually does more harm than good.” (MORE: Will The Auto-Bailout Factor in Michigan?) It’s this philosophy that Romney can build his argument on. ??The idea that the government continues to hold shares in General Motors and calls the shots there is not consistent with American free enterprise,?? Romney told a Detroit radio station on Thursday.replica louis vuitton ??We need to get the government out of these companies?? hair and let them go to work to become competitive??not only in the U.S. but globally.” Romney may be having his cake and eating it too in this case??he backed TARP and said in Wednesday’s debate that ??no way would we allow the auto industry in America to totally implode and disappear????but Republicans have a strong case to make against regulation and intervention in the next election.louis vuitton shoes replica That is, as long as they steer clear of most specifics. Just as Americans have a negative opinion of Obama’s health care overhaul as a monolith while liking many of its individuals pieces, specifics are where the appeal of a hands-off bureaucracy begins to break down. When Pew asked what should become of regulations on everything from food production to prescription drugs, very few Americans (no more than 20% on any issue) actually called for a reduction. Pluralities favored strengthening regulations in most cases.fake ugg boots Public opinion polling, especially on policy, is shot through with these kinds of contradictions. And they’re something that Obama and his opponent will have to navigate carefully this year. After all,?USA Today/Gallup? found that 50% of Americans see the President’s tenure as a failure… the same percentage that rates him favorably.
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2013年11月13日星期三

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On Super Tuesday, the most dramatic night in presidential primary politics, Mitt Romney failed to clinch the field-clearing victory that had once seemed plausible.replica louis vuitton But even as he battled Rick Santorum late into the night in crucial Ohio, saw three states chalked in Santorum’s column, and Newt Gingrich’s flagging candidacy reinvigorated by a home-state win in Georgia, there was no doubt that the math still favored the front-runner. By most accounts, Super Tuesday was a split decision. Romney easily won Massachusetts, where he served as governor, nearby Vermont, Mormon-populated Idaho, far flung Alaska and almost the entire cache of 46 delegates from Virginia, where Santorum and Gingrich failed to make the ballot. Santorum had a strong showing in conservative Oklahoma, fought off a late Romney surge in Tennessee, and topped out the preference poll in the North Dakota caucuses.chanel handbags for sale And in Ohio, the crown jewel of the night, the race was called after midnight as Romney edged Santorum 38% to 37% with 99% of precincts reporting. (PHOTOS: On the Trail with Mitt Romney) In keeping with past contests, Romney performed best with seniors, the well-educated, affluent voters and moderates. In Georgia, where Gingrich cleaned up 47.5% of the vote, winning almost every demographic, Romney led among those making more than $200,000 a year and those with post-graduate degrees netting him 25.handbags louis vuitton6% support. In Tennessee, Santorum capitalized on a strongly Evangelical electorate to rout Romney by 9 points, but the former Massachusetts governor was still able to beat him among the 65+ club and six-figure earners. The same dynamics were at work in Ohio, though Romney seemed to make small inroads with blue-collar voters there: he lost those with no college degree to Santorum by just four points and those making less than $50,000 a year by an even smaller margin. Working women swung to Romney by 11 points, unmarried women by 14 and Catholics by 13.cheap gucci belts Rural counties tallied early in the night seemed to have placed the state in Santorum’s reach, but as in Michigan, the big city suburbs came through for Romney. (PHOTOS: Super Tuesday in Pictures) Even with the big win, Romney struggled in all the familiar areas. Santorum racked up huge margins across several states among ??very conservative?? voters, ??strong?? Tea Party supporters, and those compelled by religious and social issues. The South continues to deal Romney setbacks and he’s yet to claim a resounding victory in the Midwest.louis vuitton neverfull Santorum was actually able to wrest away one group from Romney in Massachusetts despite his massive margin of victory: those who rated abortion as the most important issue favored Santorum by three points. With mostly Southern states on the horizon in the next month, Romney has little hope of truncating the calendar and avoiding a drawn-out nomination fight. If nothing else, Super Tuesday made that clear. But the arc of the Republican presidential primary still looks good for Rommey and Santorum’s organizational failures marked the most important lesson of the night.chanel handbags for sale Not being on the ballot in Virginia may have cost Santorum a huge victory ??Ron Paul claimed a surprising 40% of the vote there, a strong indicator of an anti-Romney bloc, and turnout was abysmal. Regardless of what the outcome has been in Ohio, the state would award more delegates to Romney because Santorum missed the ballot in several of the state’s congressional districts, rendering him ineligible for their convention votes. He seems to have narrowly missed the vote percentage threshold to win delegates in Massachusetts and Georgia, where his campaign had a scant presence. (MORE: Election 2012: Romney’s Long March) Even without these handicaps, Santorum is not on pace to contest the Tampa convention.louis vuitton speedy ??No, it isn’t mathematically impossible,?? delegate whiz Josh Putnam wrote Tuesday of Santorum’s chance to hit the 1,144 mark necessary to clinch the nomination. ??But it would take either Gingrich or Santorum over-performing their established level of support in the contests already in the history books to such an extent that it is all but mathematically impossible.?? Romney seems to know all this. Before a rowdy hometown crowd Tuesday night in Boston, well before Ohio’s results were unraveled, Romney delivered a speech long on anti-Obama bromides and short on intra-party sniping that seemed to acknowledge his trajectory toward the Republican convention.louis vuitton neverfull ??Tonight we??ve taken one more step toward restoring the promise of America. Tomorrow we wake up and we start again. And the next day we do the same. And so it will go, day by day, step by step, door to door, heart to heart,?? he said.gucci outlet online ??There will be good days and bad days, always long hours and never enough time. But, on November 6, we will stand united, not only having won an election but having saved a future.?? Perhaps it was overly dramatic. But what’s Super Tuesday without a little drama? PHOTOS: Political Pictures of the Week, Feb.loui vuitton
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Various lessons of Super Tuesday.louis vuitton outlet online The new popular metaphor is Groundhog’s Day: six more weeks of Santorum. The Republican race heads south. John Ellis says Santorum is high on campaign. A magazine scribe dials for Rick in Georgia.cheap gucci belts Dennis Kuncinich loses the primary in his newly redrawn district, will likely leave Congress. A sleepy Gingrich ad-libs at AIPAC. Romney won’t follow McCain on Syria airstrikes. Something called CAPE PAC broke the third-party ceasefire in Massachusetts, Scott Brown will pony up.gucci outlet online And CNN runs what appears to be an elaborate viral ad for Game Change the movie. (Time Warner owns CNN, HBO and TIME, it also employs Mark Halperin, the co-author of the book said movie is based on, and signs my checks.
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Imagine how crazy it would be if Michele Bachmann lost her House seat to a Tea Partyer even more conservative than she was??that??s the equivalent of what happened on Tuesday when three-term Rep.ugg boots outlet Jean Schmidt lost the Republican primary in Ohio’s 2nd District to political rookie Brad Wenstrup. The upset was big??just last cycle, Schmitt won her primary by a whopping 40%. She lost this time by 6%. Her loss signals a Republican Party once again struggling with Tea Party insurrection.louis vuitton replica Wenstrup, a surgeon and Iraq veteran, has almost zero political experience??he lost his only other political race against Cincinnati Mayor Mark Mallory in 2009. His surprise win on Tuesday came thanks to an endorsement from the Ohio Liberty Council, a coalition of Ohio Tea Party groups, and voters who applauded his?support for a flat tax and a health care reform repeal. Dubbed “Mean Jean” for her 2005 exchange with Jack Murtha in which she told him “cowards cut and run, Marines never do,?? Schmidt herself was long viewed as a fiery conservative. But she was also loyal to the leadership and supported Speaker John Boehner’s bipartisan deal to raise the debt ceiling in the summer of 2011.louis vuitton neverfull Her fealty may have cost her. Schmidt’s defeat shocked House Republicans and more upsets could be on the way as GOP members struggle to raise cash. House Republicans currently hold 62 districts that Obama won in 2008, and their majority hinges on 26 seats. If they don’t address tension in their own party, the House could flip.chanel outlet
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